Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 10.194494 11.642249 13.230033 15.101867 17.249957 19.640019 22.503905
2025-12-21 8.100280 9.962353 12.165117 14.967844 18.446351 22.631213 28.062560
2025-12-28 7.162559 9.284789 11.934145 15.494123 20.168231 26.117581 34.299653
2026-01-04 6.438294 8.714157 11.683880 15.858215 21.600544 29.260291 40.317022
2026-01-11 5.932633 8.337117 11.598026 16.365814 23.198242 32.695643 47.003489
2026-01-18 5.245869 7.618502 10.946856 15.984778 23.469328 34.259329 51.142355
2026-01-25 4.711751 7.050903 10.435023 15.722207 23.840937 35.943669 55.553753
2026-02-01 4.264288 6.559886 9.976786 15.473867 24.177357 37.561530 59.964885
2026-02-08 3.878063 6.120868 9.548740 15.216293 24.450302 39.070029 64.300756
2026-02-15 3.542633 5.727654 9.151214 14.959048 24.680359 40.500755 68.604611
2026-02-22 3.432306 5.682636 9.296103 15.584079 26.394380 44.474191 77.529899
2026-03-01 3.254972 5.509853 9.214602 15.816876 27.455908 47.427891 84.946868
2026-03-08 3.041027 5.260485 8.989763 15.792814 28.084939 49.716960 91.455504
2026-03-15 2.827614 4.993759 8.712457 15.649884 28.484990 51.628027 97.448103
2026-03-22 2.746056 4.951483 8.820014 16.201207 30.186398 56.028159 108.540820
2026-03-29 2.644350 4.863428 8.836694 16.582556 31.597084 59.999898 119.178966
2026-04-05 2.571189 4.821104 8.931215 17.114248 33.334431 64.733034 131.783244
2026-04-12 2.379291 4.539869 8.559062 16.715124 33.212831 65.824298 137.041911
2026-04-19 2.220053 4.308751 8.263629 16.440097 33.310289 67.349115 143.336081
2026-04-26 2.076080 4.096315 7.987777 16.179986 33.411635 68.880967 149.777233
2026-05-03 1.942805 3.895032 7.718544 15.910209 33.466407 70.312528 156.122934
2026-05-10 1.820196 3.706166 7.460009 15.640784 33.496114 71.686084 162.458528
2026-05-17 1.801436 3.729031 7.632367 16.295420 35.575680 77.658096 179.895540